Saturday Night Contest - Guess Again

Nov 17, 2007
52
0
my first quess will be 7 of diamonds and a 4 of spades

second guess will be 7 of hearts and 3 of diamonds

third quess is 3 of diamonds and a king of spades
 
Nov 17, 2007
519
1
Looking at it statistically

Well, there are 56 cards in a deck of Guardians:

52 cards
2 jokers
1 double backer
1 ad

This means the odds of guessing 1 card right is 1 in 56.
Since you get three guesses, the real odds are about 1 in 18.66
That means the odds of guessing two cards right is about 1 in 348.
So that means, in theory, if my post is the 348th, and it's something nobody else has said yet, then I'll win the contests.

Eh. Too much work.
Haha. You've put a lot of thought into this. But, just make the odds worse. T11 won't tell you who won until 9:30. Which means, what if someone already put the correct answer? =P
 
Sep 1, 2007
1,699
1
35
1. Four of Diamonds, Six of Diamonds

2. Three of Hearts, Five of Clubs

3. King of Hearts, Ace of Spades
 
Sep 1, 2007
43
0
Minnesota
Okay, so I'm just gonna pull random cards out of a deck and put them here...


1) Ace of Clubs and Jack of Diamonds
2) 7 of Hearts and 3 of Spades
3) Ace of Clubs and 9 of Spades
 

Aos

Mar 6, 2008
453
1
Looking at it statistically

Well, there are 56 cards in a deck of Guardians:

52 cards
2 jokers
1 double backer
1 ad

This means the odds of guessing 1 card right is 1 in 56.
Since you get three guesses, the real odds are about 1 in 18.66
That means the odds of guessing two cards right is about 1 in 348.

lol no
thats not how math works at all
first of all
even if i consider your logic
guessing one correctly is 1/56
guessing two correctly is therefore (1/56)(1/55)
= 1/3080

what you fail to notice is that the order of guessing doesnt matter
so you can multiply the probabillity by the total number of ways of arranging the selections
so the odds of you guessing two cards on a single try is
=2/3080 = 1/1540

second of all

So that means, in theory, if my post is the 348th, and it's something nobody else has said yet, then I'll win the contests.

is absolute nonsense
 
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